Comments on: Final Observations From Around The Web Before Election Day http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/ updated, and a little more mellow Fri, 19 Mar 2010 04:43:39 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: el jefe http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-15198 el jefe Sat, 08 Nov 2008 17:45:18 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-15198 statistically speaking, almost all polls should have the true value within the margin or error. and if they are unbiased, they should converge around the true values, which they did. that's different than picking numbers in a lottery. statistically speaking, almost all polls should have the true value within the margin or error. and if they are unbiased, they should converge around the true values, which they did. that’s different than picking numbers in a lottery.

]]> By: Kevin http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-15197 Kevin Sat, 08 Nov 2008 17:40:41 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-15197 I used the force, not polling. I used the force, not polling.

]]> By: jack http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-15195 jack Sat, 08 Nov 2008 17:31:05 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-15195 As a rocket scientist, I know that, statistically speaking, having as many polls as we do that some pollsters are going to get it right. It is no more impressive than a person's winning the lottery at million-to-one odds -- someone's bound to do it! As a rocket scientist, I know that, statistically speaking, having as many polls as we do that some pollsters are going to get it right. It is no more impressive than a person’s winning the lottery at million-to-one odds — someone’s bound to do it!

]]> By: Kevin http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-15194 Kevin Sat, 08 Nov 2008 17:08:44 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-15194 How's this for a 1 finger victory salute? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QpL6EIMShO4 How’s this for a 1 finger victory salute?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QpL6EIMShO4

]]> By: el jefe http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-15193 el jefe Sat, 08 Nov 2008 17:07:45 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-15193 they actually did better in 2004, rcp only got one state wrong using election eve polls. there were several polls, it's a weighted average. and as a 'rocket scientist' i would think you would know how standard errors work and that this kind of prediction is impressive. they actually did better in 2004, rcp only got one state wrong using election eve polls. there were several polls, it’s a weighted average. and as a ‘rocket scientist’ i would think you would know how standard errors work and that this kind of prediction is impressive.

]]> By: Kevin http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-15192 Kevin Sat, 08 Nov 2008 17:05:33 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-15192 I was one of those dart-throwing monkeys. I was one of those dart-throwing monkeys.

]]> By: jack http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-15191 jack Sat, 08 Nov 2008 16:44:14 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-15191 BFD. How many polls were there? A few of the dart-throwing monkeys were bound to get it right. BFD. How many polls were there? A few of the dart-throwing monkeys were bound to get it right.

]]> By: el jefe http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-15189 el jefe Sat, 08 Nov 2008 16:19:29 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-15189 for those statistics and poll doubters, look at rcp. so far, only two states wrong, and they had them going to mccain. wow! http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/election_2008/presidential_final_results.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10 for those statistics and poll doubters, look at rcp. so far, only two states wrong, and they had them going to mccain. wow!

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/election_2008/presidential_final_results.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10

]]> By: jack http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-14741 jack Tue, 04 Nov 2008 14:19:27 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-14741 You're right, zimzo -- that clip was pure 0bama. Eight-and-a-half minutes, and he said nothing. Floor Wax -- all shine, no depth. You’re right, zimzo — that clip was pure 0bama. Eight-and-a-half minutes, and he said nothing. Floor Wax — all shine, no depth.

]]> By: zimzo http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-14733 zimzo Tue, 04 Nov 2008 13:24:45 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-14733 Why you guys hate Obama: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1vlM3x-GoCA Why you guys hate Obama:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1vlM3x-GoCA

]]> By: Joe Budzinski http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-14716 Joe Budzinski Tue, 04 Nov 2008 04:48:51 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-14716 Me too, up at 4 am in fact. Should be bracing! Me too, up at 4 am in fact. Should be bracing!

]]> By: geo http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-14714 geo Tue, 04 Nov 2008 04:28:53 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-14714 I took off from work and plan to be at the precinct bright and early. I took off from work and plan to be at the precinct bright and early.

]]> By: Brian Withnell http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-14712 Brian Withnell Tue, 04 Nov 2008 04:15:07 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-14712 I can hardly believe that the Dems would want someone that "flips the bird" as President. If Obama is elected, the saying "in a Democracy, the people get the leaders they deserve" will have a meaning that I do not relish. Many of our Presidents have been secretly crude, to have one so openly crude is beyond belief. (And I'll bet Zim and SPMM chime in with defense of his action, which is why this is so sad.) I can hardly believe that the Dems would want someone that “flips the bird” as President.

If Obama is elected, the saying “in a Democracy, the people get the leaders they deserve” will have a meaning that I do not relish. Many of our Presidents have been secretly crude, to have one so openly crude is beyond belief. (And I’ll bet Zim and SPMM chime in with defense of his action, which is why this is so sad.)

]]> By: sally http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/comment-page-1/#comment-14706 sally Tue, 04 Nov 2008 03:41:50 +0000 http://novatownhall.com/2008/11/03/final-observations-from-around-the-web-before-election-day/#comment-14706 Obama surrogate explains Obama "did not have the political courage to walk out of Wright's church"... http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/daily/site_110308/content/01125114.guest.html Obama surrogate explains Obama “did not have the political courage to walk out of Wright’s church”…

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/daily/site_110308/content/01125114.guest.html

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