novatownhall blog

Where you are held accountable for your convictions and record

November 2, 2000 – Reuters/MSNBC tracking poll: Gore leads Bush in Florida by 12%.

February 5, 2008 – Zogby: Obama leads Clinton in California by 13%.

October 30, 2008 – SurveyUSA: Obama leads McCain in Iowa by 15%. (Based on a sampling of 45% Democrat to 29% Republican! Science, don’t you know.)

“Double standards?” Oh, brothers, that does not even scratch the surface as to what we are in for.

As noted the other day: this whole free speech concept is going to get some serious whittling down when the subject in question is Dear Leader.

And here we have the upshot. You hang Sarah Palin in effigy and it’s fair game. Try the same thing on Barack Obama and you get in trouble with the Man. Be prepared to lie low for a couple years, friends.

I can’t tell for sure if there is a compliment tucked into this column, but by cracky I wager there is!

My view of Sarah Palin has changed in the two months since John McCain named her as his running mate. I’m guessing that McCain’s view of Palin may be changing, too, and not entirely in a good way.

I thought Palin was a lightweight; she’s not. I thought she was an ingenue; she is, but only as long as her claws are sheathed. I thought she was bewildered and star-struck at her sudden elevation to national prominence; if she ever was, she isn’t anymore. I thought she was nothing but raw political talent and unrealistic ambition; it turns out that she has impressive political skills. I thought she was destined to become nothing more than a historical footnote; I now think that Democrats underestimate her at their peril…

NBC/Mason Dixon poll just announced John McCain now trails Barack Obama 47% – 43%, with a margin of error of 4%.

Elsewhere on the same page, the Time/CNN poll has Obama 55%, McCain 43%. So you need to choose whom you believe.

Or like RCP just average them together, which lends an air of credence possibly not deserved to whichever is wrong. But what the hey. As Karl Rove said, there’s a lot of polls out there nowadays.

I have labeled the the left side of my front yard as Obama territory and the right side McCain, and I can tell you there is far more squirrel nut-burying activity on the right side – something like 58% to Obama’s 39%. Average that poll in with the other two and McCain has pulled ahead of Obama for the first time since late September. To me this indicates the undecideds breaking for McCain, which has to be the Obama campaign’s chief concern right now.

But here is what is most interesting: Even with the ungodly advantage in advertising in all forms he has been doing, Obama not only cannot close the deal but may be losing ground as time goes on. Americans are getting to know Barack Obama better, and not liking what they see.

This is surprising: Early voters in Florida are giving John McCain a 4 point advantage over Barack Obama, and McCain is leading by 20 points in absentee ballots already tabulated. Democrats are turning out in larger numbers than Republicans, as expected – but they are not all voting for Obama.

As the Dems for McCain crowd has opined, there are some lingering bad feelings about the Obama campaign’s tactics in the primaries, and paybacks can be hell.

Or maybe all those Democrats who happen to own or work for small businesses are getting wind of Obama’s tax hikes for over a million small companies which might just be the beginning.

Whatever the reason, this is great news.

Cal Thomas makes the case much better than I can:

Barack Obama thinks the Constitution and the country it helped create should be remade in his image. He wants to be a founding father of a different America, one that would bear little resemblance to the country we have known.

Read it all and share it with everyone you know. It is expressed with a level of urgency that is compelling; it might be effective at getting the attention of folks who don’t yet realize what Obama’s deal is.

At HillBuzz an Obama worker reveals the tactics the campaign is using to depress the Republican vote and announces she is voting for McCain:

We pay people and organize people to go to all the online sites and “play the part of a clinton or mccain supporter who just switched our support for obama”

We do this to stifle your motivation and to destroy your confidence…

Next, we infiltrate all the blogs and all the youtube videos and overwhelm the voting, the comments, etc. All to continue this appearance of overwhelming world support…

We have also had quite a hand in skewing many many polls, some we couldn’t control as much as we would have liked. But many we have spoiled over. Just enough to make real clear politics look scarey to a mccain supporter.

Fascinating information.