novatownhall blog

Where you are held accountable for your convictions and record

Western civilization, born in ancient Greece and Rome, nurtured in Northern Europe, and matured in the United States and Canada, is dying.  More specifically, we are killing ourselves.  According to the CDC, the (age adjusted) white fertility rate in 2005 was only 1,840 live births per 1000 women aged 15-44, well below the replacement birth rate (See Table 15).  To compare apples to apples, that CDC report of non-age-adjusted white fertility rate was 58.4 live births in 2004.  Meanwhile the abortion rate was 10 per 1,000 women in that age group.  That would work out to another 469 live births, putting the total fertility rate up over 2,300 per 1,000 white women of child-bearing age, well above the replacement rate.

Blacks fare a little better.  Although their abortion rate (28 vs. 10) was higher, the Black Total Fertility Rate (TFR) was 2,020. The Hispanic abortion rate is 26.0 per 1,000 women of child-bearing age, but their TFR is 2,824.5.  (The rate for Mexicans in America was 3,021.0!)

The same trend is occurring in Europe, Russia, and Japan.

We are told that the wages of Sin is Death (Romans 6:23).  We are dying.

From the local right-wing rag:

On Iraq’s nuclear weapons program? The president’s statements “were generally substantiated by intelligence community estimates.”

On biological weapons, production capability and those infamous mobile laboratories? The president’s statements “were substantiated by intelligence information.”

On chemical weapons, then? “Substantiated by intelligence information.”

On weapons of mass destruction overall (a separate section of the intelligence committee report)? “Generally substantiated by intelligence information.” Delivery vehicles such as ballistic missiles? “Generally substantiated by available intelligence.” Unmanned aerial vehicles that could be used to deliver WMDs? “Generally substantiated by intelligence information.”

…statements regarding Iraq’s support for terrorist groups other than al-Qaeda “were substantiated by intelligence information.” Statements that Iraq provided safe haven for Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and other terrorists with ties to al-Qaeda “were substantiated by the intelligence assessments,” and statements regarding Iraq’s contacts with al-Qaeda “were substantiated by intelligence information.”

Here is the report. Start about page 16 and every 5 or so pages are the “Conclusion” paragraphs.

The intelligence was problematic – but as the report amply demonstrates both Democrats and Republicans drew the same conclusions about the threat. As Hiatt notes in his editorial, we must wait and see what a future administration will do about future threats, about which side it will err on.

Details at SBE. Also, here.

Vern McKinley was not quite as far behind in Warren County (80-20%), Manassas Park City (85-15%) and Winchester City (85-14%).

But still pretty far behind overall. It’s no small thing to throw one’s hat in the ring, so thanks to Vern and his family for making the attempt.

Frank Wolf has all the head of steam he needs to gear up for Judy Feder.

Unless I’ve lost track of things, which is highly usual for me, I believe that today is voting day to pick our candidate in the 10th District.  It may be small potatoes (or “taters” if your southern) but, again, a message needs to be sent loud and clear.  Sure the established elite have the dominant hand of things but slowly we will regain control from them.  How you ask?  By going to the polls, conventions, primaries, town halls and any other venue where our voices will be heard.  “Our voices” coming from BOTH sides.  That is what a democracy is about.  Unfortunately, some have forgotten that and there have been underhanded dealings happening-at least from a blindman’s perspective.  Okay.  From my prospective and in my opinion.  Regardless, we need to take back the process and give back to the people.  That can only be done by voting.

Don’t be dismayed if your candidate doesn’t “make it” this time.  There will be more opportunities.  After all, if at first you don’t succeed,……..

“Like a cringing dog, conservatives in the 10th District keep getting kicked …”

This came in via phone yesterday, regarding tomorrow’s 10th District Republican primaries.

I won’t even begin to explain the controversy – if you want to know about that you will have to go to Controversy Central here, here, here, and well, just scroll down.

Ok, here is my review of Indiana Jones And The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull. I won’t kid you: This review contains major spoilers so if you have not already seen the film you may not want to read below the fold because I guarantee I will ruin it for all of you purists.

The newest Indiana Jones installment is impressive on the face of it in its own right because it brings back Harrison Ford in the lead at 70 years old and Steven Spielberg as director, which is no small potatoes. Spielberg made Jaws when he was like 23, and has established the baseline for commercially successful auteurs, so when he deigns to direct a film, we should all take note.

“What is Spielberg up to these days?” is the question film aficionados should ask, and “Crystal Skull” provides an answer.

continue reading…

Man was it hot in Sterling today.

I’m no stranger to heat at all, having lived in southwest Florida for ten years in an era when I could not always afford a vehicle with air conditioning. Yes, I am that old and yes I was that poor in my 20s. Summers in Florida driving with your windows open is manly business, and there was more than one summer when my work was construction and my drive home was in a non-air conditioned car.

But today was a complete ass-kicker, unlike any I’ve experienced in recent memory. I had to do the lawn, which is about a 2.5 hour exercise with the edging and trimming included. Unfortunately, my basic laziness was in full force this morning and I did not manage to break out the equipment until about 11:00 am. The “temperature” was only showing at 94 degrees, and there were numerous areas of shade in the yard, so I thought I could tear through the job with no problems. But the humidity and “heat index” were at another level altogether.

So as much as I like to tell people that 47 is not really so old thanks to modern science and I still get carded in 7-11 by cashiers from the other side of the world, I must admit that mowing the lawn on days like today is no country for 47-year old men.

Within roughly 15 minutes of embarking onto the front lawn (do that first, so if you die in the process at least the neighborhood standards will be maintained) my head started to burn and I had to breathe a LOT. So I mowed a stretch, then went inside for a cold drink and a chance to let the breathing slow down.

By the time I got to the back yard, which was around noon, the overall sensation could best be described as stinging from the inside out. Luckily, portions of the yard were still shaded, so I could strategize by doing a circuit in the sun and circuit in the shade, then the occasional break in the house for a cool down. The internal temperature continued to build, though, because during my circuits in the sunny portions, when I had to stop and empty the catcher for the obligatory stop in the sun, the heat-and-sweating sensation got so intense there were brief periods of chills. This, I would tend to think, is not a good thing.

Eventually, I managed to get the front and back yards both done, and by the end my ears felt like they were chimneys, almost burning. Needless to say, I spent some time in the house cooling down before moving one step further.

I also did a number of errands throughout the day, and the overriding characteristic was brief moments in the sun (or hopping into the car) were like a shot to the head.

Now it is 1:00 am, and I still have the burning sensation in my ears. It’s the heat combined with humidity. This has been one hot damn day in Sterling.

Tomorrow is supposed to hit 98 degrees, and we will be at the Steve Winwood – Tom Petty concert. I will try to send some Twitter updates from the concert on how that is going and how everyone is surviving the heat.