novatownhall blog

Where you are held accountable for your convictions and record

Browsing Posts tagged McCain

McCain-Palin now within 4 points (after trailing by 9 points last week).

The Obama campaign held a “20 point lead in terms of enthusiasm” when the survey was taken, but I am going out on a ledge to predict that is about to change.

“Who is the real Barack Obama?” indeed. He’s the guy who peaked on October 1 on a message spun of gossamer threads.

Some random observations:

- A commenter during Ace’s live blog (which was hysterical, by the way – go here and click “Replay,” and click each new link to read through to the end, it is well worth it) noted the pall cast over CNN’s expert commentators is a sign McCain thrashed Obama. Great point, they looked like they just had a death in the family. David Gergen could barely get his words out.

- My wife just noted: “That’s how they looked after Palin’s speech.”

- Obama could not name a single thing he would cut from his plans in light of our financial tightening – except for his energy independence initiative, which incidentally he had just said is the number one thing he would NOT cut.

- McCain, in my view (imagining I’m an independent swing voter), did not clean the floor with Obama. He did not get a knockout punch. But he did sort of dust the blinds with him. Obama was on defense the entire time.

- McCain’s biggest accomplishment: He was the Dad. Obama was the college junior holding forth about how the world really works.

- Obama looked sort of “presidential,” which was something he had to do, except when he was showing his frustration and interrupting McCain which was back to college junior.

- I thought McCain did pretty well on the economy part of the debate, he underplayed his true role in attempting the reform Fannie and Freddie five years ago. In the next debates he should list more specifics.

- I think there are a ton of domestic issues that McCain can clobber Obama with. Lots of time to practice.

- McCain is going to be energized by this. Obama not so much – I predict lots of defensive spin from the Democrats tomorrow. Less so from McCain’s camp.

UPDATE: CNN just showed a group of “McCain supporters” and they are jubilant. We have yet to see an Obama supporter who doesn’t look like they just swallowed something terrible.

UPDATE II: David Gergen would make a good funeral director. He’s got the look down.

UPDATE III: CNN announced within 10 minutes of the end the results of their CNN/Opinion Research poll which had Obama winning the debate in a landslide. How do they do that so quickly, have a thousand people making three phone calls each, or 10 people making three calls each? I think the latter.

UPDATE IV: Hey, anyone with access to an ear in the McCain campaign: Go read that live blog. Some good advice there, seriously.

UPDATE V: Others commenting: Bulletproof Monk. Bearing Drift. Spank That Donkey. Captain Ed.

Barack Obama merely needs to hold it together in this debate, and the following two, and he will likely be our next president. Whether justified or not (it’s not), the economic crisis is going to benefit the party that is not in the White House. When banks are closing, and people have to be thinking about whether they are over the FDIC insurance limit at any one institution, things are bad. The easiest way to register protest against that state of affairs, if you are the average voter whose main source of information is the mainstream media, is to vote for the guy with the D after his name.

That, and the fact Obama supposedly is going to have a much better ground game on November 4, and the Democrats have a huge head start in the critical vote fraud effort, means the status quo is a loss for John McCain.

McCain needs to dramatically break through the mainstream media filter with 1) strong, clear messages that will resonate with viewers and 2) at least one bone-jarring attack on Barack Obama that causes Obama to completely tweak.

In McCain’s favor are the facts that he is right about more issues than Obama and he is a better extemporaneous speaker. Off the cuff, Obama has a history of letting slip what he really thinks, which often, rightfully, comes off as highly repugnant to many Americans. He also has proven himself thin-skinned and easily rattled.

So McCain needs to hit on some topics that reveal the cracks in Obama’s facade. My suggestions are some inconvenient truths such as the following:

- The Annenberg-Ayers connection and general fact that the Obamas like people who hate America;

- The fact that Obama, despite his rhetoric, pays his female employees worse than either McCain or Hillary Clinton did;

- Obama’s abysmal record on Second Amendment issues;

- Any of Obama’s lies – here’s a set of them, and here are some more;

- Or any of the “Chicago machine” stuff, because of all the swipes “typical politician” seems to be one that cuts to the bone, probably because it is both extremely true and extremely ruinous to his carefully constructed persona.

I think any of these truths, clearly and calmly explained by McCain, will get Obama twitching, and one major instance of this in front of 40 million viewers will be the end of his viability as a candidate.

That’s not to say McCain can’t win the thing just by making the case for himself. He can be very persuasive and sincere when speaking off the cuff, and as at the Saddleback Church forum, this contrasts very favorably with Obama’s tendency to stumble for words and generally show muddled thinking.

But it does not seem like a very safe tactic to assume Obama is going to make himself look bad, and besides it would be better style to at least try and rattle him a few times – people love to see clay feet revealed, and this is one juicy target.

These are good videos. I think you’ll enjoy them.

First, Bill Clinton on John McCain and the rationality of voting by gender:

Next, Bill Clinton talks about Sarah Palin:

Count this as another blow to bipartisanship. Howling Latina is a normally sensible liberal blogger who I like to read now and then. You can’t comment on her blog unless you have a Blogger account, so that limits participation, but it is worth reading most of the time. Unfortunately now she has gone down John Cole’s garden path and the only way I can comment on it is here.

continue reading…

What an amazing gift Keith Olberman and Chris Matthews turned out to be (before they were demoted, of course) to the McCain-Palin campaign:

… This has had the effect of converting a good many Clinton supporters and women of all stripes into populists of their own, now convinced that the media is out to get them, too. On the heels of sexist critiques of Clinton during the primaries, the perception that the press has gone after Palin has only cemented these impressions. Thus, it should be no surprise if large numbers of working-class women are thinking about joining forces with all those Republican populists who long ago decided that the overriding enemy in the culture is the mainstream media.

MSNBC has put the GOP in position to form a rather formidable coalition. Unfortunately for the Democrats, if it does assemble, it will do so on the other side of the aisle. MSNBC may be a relative commercial success. But for the Democrats this year, that network’s devotion to Obama — again, through no fault of his — has the potential to turn into an electoral disaster.

As a Freeper noted, this surely will be regarded as a master stroke.

That is, if the Obama campaign has not searched out and destroyed every last copy of the Flash file from every computer on the face of the Earth before we all get a chance to burn a DVD so our grandparents can watch it.

If you ever wondered what it looks like when the wheels fall off a political campaign, here is a case study at the national level.

UPDATE: I should note this is a source of particular enjoyment for your humble narrator because the place where I spend the vast majority of my time, aka “the day job,” involves an entire industry in which less than half the owners and top managers are “online” to any appreciable degree. But, you know, who cares about what thousands and thousands of people over the age of 60 think when you have an ad that so deftly mind melds with the MySpace crowd, because we all know which demographic votes in overwhelmingly larger percentages.

UPDATE II: New theme for the next 52 days: “Barack Obama is a moron and utterly unqualified to be president of a fantasy football league.” Day 1.